CONSERVATIVES CRUMBLE: Federal Liberals under new leader Mark Carney are surging past the stale Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre and his childish Axe The Tax nonsense now that Carney has already eliminated the dreaded carbon tax. Angus Reid Institute finds the governing Liberal Party – led by newly sworn-in Prime Minister Carney – surging to a five-point vote intention advantage nationally after trailing by 29 points in late December. Were these numbers to hold, with the Liberals at 42 per cent in vote intention, what was a tired, discardable brand just three months ago would be on its way to a fourth term, this time with a majority. Meanwhile Jagmeet Singh’s NDP party is down to single digits as left of centre voters stampede away from the NDP.

By R. Paul Dhillon – Editor DESIBUZZCanada Staff

OTTAWA – Federal Liberals under new leader Mark Carney are surging past the stale Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre and his childish Axe The Tax nonsense now that Carney has already eliminated the dreaded carbon tax.  

According to the new Angus Reid poll, the Carney-led Liberals are into majority territory if an election is called now and the election is certainly on the horizon as a whirlwind first quarter of 2025 has swept up Canadian politics and tossed it back down in an unrecognizable jumble.

Angus Reid Institute finds the governing Liberal Party – led by newly sworn-in Prime Minister Carney – surging to a five-point vote intention advantage nationally after trailing by 29 points in late December. Were these numbers to hold, with the Liberals at 42 per cent in vote intention, what was a tired, discardable brand just three months ago would be on its way to a fourth term, this time with a majority.

The causes are myriad, with Conservative leader Poilievre losing two of his biggest targets – Justin Trudeau and the carbon tax – and U.S. President Donald Trump generating a wave of Canadian pride and nationalism with tariff and annexation threats. Over this three-month period Liberal support has jumped 30 points in the city of Toronto, 25 points in 905 ridings.

There are serious caveats, however, according to the pol.

While the Liberal party has skyrocketed into majority territory not seen since 2016, much of this vote intention lacks solidity. Half of would-be Liberal voters currently say they’re very committed to this position (49%), 17-points lower than the CPC base (66%).

That said, Carney enters the job with some key advantages over Poilievre. He is seen as best to handle the ongoing trade war and Trump’s annexation threats by a majority of Canadians, while Poilievre is seen as best by three-in-10. The same proportions say this when considering which leader will capably steward Canada’s economy more broadly.

More bluntly, 41 per cent now view Carney as best suited to be prime minister compared to 29 per cent for Poilievre. At least measurement, with Trudeau sitting in the PM chair, Poilievre led the Liberal leader by 19 points on this question.

Meanwhile Jagmeet Singh’s NDP party is down to single digits as left of centre voters stampede away from the NDP.See more key findings at: www.angusreid.org/