According to CBC News poll tracker by Eric Grenier, with the level of support the NDP currently has, it would likely win 49 seats, just over the mark for a majority government. The Liberals would win 34 seats and the Greens would take four. Taking into account past polling errors, however, the Liberals are still capable of winning a slim majority government of their own — their projected high range tops out at 45 seats. But the New Democrats could also win an even larger majority, while the Greens could win as few as two seats and as many as 12. Undoubtedly, the B.C. New Democrats will not be taking for granted a lead in the polls, particularly after the shock of the 2013 result. But unlike the polls four years ago, the trends appear to be heading in the NDP's direction — for now.
VANCOUVER – At the mid-point of the British Columbia election campaign, the B.C. New Democrats under John Horgan continue to hold a lead over Christy Clark's B.C. Liberals — and that lead is widening, reported CBC News.
The NDP holds 42.5 per cent support according to the CBC's B.C. Poll Tracker, an aggregation of all available polling data, up 1.2 points over where the party stood on Apr. 11. The Liberals follow at 34.7 per cent, down just over three points.
The Greens have gained a little more than a point and sit at 20.1 per cent, while another 2.7 per cent of British Columbians are projected to be supporting other parties and independent candidates.
With these levels of support, the NDP would likely win 49 seats, just over the mark for a majority government. The Liberals would win 34 seats and the Greens would take four, reported CBC News.
Taking into account past polling errors, however, the Liberals are still capable of winning a slim majority government of their own — their projected high range tops out at 45 seats. But the New Democrats could also win an even larger majority, while the Greens could win as few as two seats and as many as 12.
But the polling in this campaign remains relatively thin. Since it officially began, only Mainstreet Research and Justason Market Intelligence have published new surveys. The Mainstreet poll points to positive trend lines for the NDP and Greens, with the Liberals either stagnating or dropping in support.
This is in some contrast to 2013, when the B.C. Liberals showed growth throughout the campaign. But the lack of polling from other companies makes it more difficult to confirm these trends.
A large proportion of the electorate remains undecided: 21 per cent according to the Mainstreet/Postmedia poll published Tuesday. But the poll suggests that this group of voters may be unlikely to break in favour of the B.C. Liberals, stopping the party from closing the gap.
The poll found just 15 per cent of undecided voters have a favourable view of Clark, compared to 49 per cent who hold an unfavourable view. That makes for a -34 rating, far worse than Horgan's -7 rating (16 per cent favourable to 23 per cent unfavourable).
Undoubtedly, the B.C. New Democrats will not be taking for granted a lead in the polls, particularly after the shock of the 2013 result. But unlike the polls four years ago, the trends appear to be heading in the NDP's direction — for now.
Courtesy CBC News
HERE IS THE RIDING BY RIDING BREAKDOWN WITH WHO'S LEADING AND SAFE PARTY SEATS
Richmond Queenborough NDP candidate Amandeep Singh Chandi, a lawyer, has an edge to win the seat over broadcaster-turned Christy Clark LNG pitchman Jas Johal, who's running for the BC Liberals.
Advance Voting In BC Election Starts Saturday
VICTORIA – Advance voting for the 41st Provincial General Election starts this weekend and all eligible voters can vote at any advance voting place in B.C.
There will be six days of advance voting for this election, up from four in the last provincial general election in 2013. Advance voting is available on Saturday and Sunday, April 29 and 30, and Wednesday, May 3 through Saturday, May 6. All advance voting places are open from 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. (local time), though voters should note that not all advance voting places are open every day of the advance voting period.
Voters can use Elections BC’s Where to Vote application, available at elections.bc.ca/wtv, to find advance voting places in their electoral district or close to them and the dates they are open. A complete list of advance voting places and the dates they are open is also available at elections.bc.ca/2017-provincial-general-election/where-to-vote.
All advance votes cast by voters within their electoral district are counted at initial count on election night.
In the 2013 Provincial General Election, 366,558 votes (20.34% of total votes) were cast at advance voting opportunities.
Voters are reminded to bring their Where to Vote card and acceptable voter ID with them when they vote. A list of acceptable voter ID is available on the Elections BC website at elections.bc.ca/2017-general-election/voter-id.
General Voting Day is Tuesday, May 9. All eligible voters can vote at any general voting place in the province between 8 a.m. and 8 p.m (Pacific time). Voting is also available at district electoral offices until 4 p.m. on General Voting Day.
For more information, visit the Elections BC website at elections.bc.ca.